Ming-Chi Kuo: 76.6% accurate

158 rumors

Rating: 3 out of 5.

Ming-Chi Kuo, an analyst for TF International Securities and icon in the community, consistently breaks Apple news and does so oft-reliably.

Rumor accuracy

Rumor list

  • Green = True
  • Red = False
  • Yellow = Pending

2021

April

  • mmWave 5G on iPhone 13 coming to more markets in 2021, link
  • No 5.4-inch iPhone model in 2022, link

March

  • AirPods 3 coming in Q3 2021, link

New iPhone SE, link

  • 4.7-inch display
  • Similar design
  • Faster processor
  • 5G
  • Launch in first half of 2022

2023 iPhones, link

  • True all-screen design with no notch or cutouts
  • New periscope telephoto lens
  • Under-screen Touch ID

2022 iPhones, link

  • Notch removed in favor of punch hole design
  • Front-facing camera gets autofocus

2021 iPhones, link

  • All models will be slightly heavier due to larger internal batteries
  • USB-C not coming this year
  • LiDAR only on Pro models

February

  • 2021 MacBook Pro getting SD card reader
    • And HDMI port

January

2021 MacBook Pro, link

  • 14 and 16-inch models
  • Revamped chassis with “flat-edged form factor”
  • Touch Bar replaced by physical function row
  • MagSafe is returning
  • More I/O will be added
  • Apple Silicon exclusively inside

New products coming in 2021, link

  • AR device
  • AirPods 3
  • 14/16-inch MBP
  • AirTags
  • New iPad Pro with Mini-LED

2020

December 12

  • 2021 iPhone models will launch in September 2021, link

December 2

  • Mini-LED MacBook Air coming in 2022, link
  • 2-3 new chargers coming in 2021

November 25

2021 Apple Watch, link

  • “Improved form factor design”
  • “Innovative health management functions”
  • Redesigned Macs coming in second half of 2021
  • AirPods 3 coming in April-June 2021

November 5

  • 2021 iPhones coming in same 4 sizes, link
    • Ultra-wide camera on Pro models has larger aperture and better autofocus

September 23

  • Mini-LED coming to new iPad Pro first, link
    • As soon as the fourth quarter of 2020

September 14

iPhone 12

  • No 120Hz display on iPhone 12, link
    • Coming in 2021
  • 5.4-inch will have slightly smaller notch
    • All other models have same-size notch
  • Smaller internal batteries

Other products

  • 2020 iPad Air will have Touch ID in power button
  • Apple Watch Series 6 will have blood oxygen support
  • Future iPad in 2021 will adopt Touch ID in power button

July 21

  • Periscope iPhone lens coming in 2022, link
  • 2020 iPhone gaining improved autofocus

July 10

  • First ARM Macs will include MacBook Air, link
  • Redesigned 14/16-inch MacBook Pros coming in 2021, link

June 28

iPhone 12 models:

  • Won’t include headphones, link
  • Won’t include a charger
  • A new 20W charger will be sold separately

June 22

  • AirPods 3 will have “similar to AirPods Pro” design, link

June 21

  • First ARM Macs:
    • 13-inch MacBook Pro, link
      • Coming in late 2020/early 2021
    • 24-inch iMac
      • “All-new form factor design”
      • Coming in late 2020/early 2021

May 20

  • Special AirPods promo in the second half of 2020, link

May 14

  • Apple AR glasses coming as soon as 2022, link
  • New 10.8-inch iPad coming in the second half of 2020
  • New 8.5-9-inch iPad mini coming in the first half of 2021

April 23

  • New AirPods 3 will have same design as AirPods 2 but updated internals, link
    • Coming in the first half of 2021
  • AirPods Pro refresh coming in the fourth quarter of 2021 or first quarter of 2022

April 21

  • iPhone SE Plus now coming in the second half of 2021, link

March 26

  • Multiple new Macs coming in 2021 with Apple designed ARM processors, link
  • Macs gaining USB4 support in 2022

March 23

  • 2020 6.7-inch iPhone Pro to have sensor-shift image stabilization, link

March 11

  • New MacBook Pro with scissor keyboard coming in the second quarter of 2020, link
  • New MacBook Air with scissor keyboard coming in the second quarter of 2020
  • All-new design MacBook models coming in the second or third quarter of 2021, link

March 3

  • Six new mini-LED products are coming: 12.9-inch iPad Pro, 27-inch iMac Pro, 14.1/16-inch MacBook Pro models, 10.2-inch iPad and 7.9-inch iPad mini, link
  • New iMac Pro launching in the fourth quarter of 2020
  • New iPad mini coming later in 2020

February 24

  • First Mac with Apple-designed ARM processor to release in the first half of 2021, link

February 17

  • iPhone SE launch still happening in the first half of 2020 even with coronavirus disruption, link

January 29

  • Smaller wireless charging mat coming in the first half of 2020, link
  • UWB tag coming in the first half of 2020
  • High-end Bluetooth headphones coming in the first half of 2020

January 12

  • All 5G iPhones to release in Fall 2020, link

2019

December 11, 2019

  • No major price increase for 2020 iPhone lineup, link

December 5, 2019

  • Five new 2020 iPhone models in total (4.7, 5.4, 6.1, 6.1 & 6.7-inch)
  • First completely wireless iPhone coming in 2021, link
  • Plus-sized iPhone SE 2 with 5.5/6.1-inch screen coming in 2021
    • Touch ID in power button

December 2, 2019

  • 12.9-inch iPad Pro with Mini-LED displays coming in the second half of 2020
  • 16-inch MacBook Pro also coming then

November 13, 2019

  • New iPad Pro and iPhone SE models still slated for release in the first half of 2020

November 11, 2019

Apple Watch Series 6:

  • Faster performance
  • Improved water resistance
  • Faster wireless transmission

October 29, 2019

  • New MacBook with scissor keyboard coming mid 2020

October 28, 2019

  • iPhone SE 2 launch at end of March, link

October 13, 2019

iPhone SE 2 additional specs rumored:

  • $399, link
  • 64/128GB storage tiers
  • Space Gray, Silver and Red colorways
  • No 3D Touch

October 9, 2019

  • iPad Pro with 3D ToF camera coming first quarter of 2020
  • New MacBook with scissor keyboard coming second quarter of 2020
  • Apple AR headset to launch in second quarter of 2020

October 3, 2019

iPhone SE 2:

  • Launching in first quarter of 2020
  • Hardware similar to iPhone 8
  • A13 processor
  • 3GB RAM

September 29, 2019

  • Mini-LED displays coming to top-end iPad and MacBook models between late 2020 and the middle of 2021

September 25, 2019

  • 2020 iPhones will have significant redesign with iPhone 4-like metal frame

September 9, 2019

2019 iPhones:

  • No Apple Pencil support
  • Keep Lightning port
  • 5.8 and 6.5-inch models ship with 18W USB-C charging brick
  • 6.1-inch model ships with 5W USB-A charging brick
  • Bilateral wireless charging may not make the cut
  • Design of phones unchanged, but new colors expected
  • Triple-lens camera on 5.8 and 6.5-inch models
  • UWB support on all three new models

September 6, 2019

  • Apple Tags to boast UWB technology

August 5, 2019

  • Touch ID + Face ID iPhone to debut in 2021

July 29, 2019

  • Two 2020 iPhones models gaining 3D ToF cameras

July 28, 2019

  • All 2020 iPhones gaining 5G

July 25, 2019

  • 16-inch MacBook Pro will get scissor keyboard

July 4, 2019

  • Apple scissor keyboard will debut on 2019 MacBook Air

June 17, 2019

  • 2020 iPhones
    • 5.4
    • 6.1
    • 6.7-inch sizes

April 24, 2019

  • All-new form factor AirPods with higher price
  • Upgraded AirPods 3 with same design and price

April 22, 2019

  • 2020 iPhones will support 5G

April 18, 2019

  • 12MP 2019 iPhone front cameras
  • iPhone XS/XS Max successors gain triple camera setup (12MP wide-angle, telephoto and ultra-wide)
  • iPhone XR successor gets dual-lens camera setup
  • 2019 iPhone front cameras and ultra-wide cameras get “inconspicuous” black coating

April 8, 2019

  • Pro Display XDR going Mini-LED in 2019
  • 10-12-inch iPad going Mini-LED in late 2020/early 2021
  • 15-17-inch MacBook going Mini-LED in 1H21

April 1, 2019

  • Bilateral charging for 2019 iPhones reaffirmed
  • 2019 iPhones gaining larger batteries

March 8, 2019

  • Apple AR Glasses launching in 2020

February 17, 2019

  • 2019 iPhone features:
    • Lightning connector
    • Same-size notch as 2018
    • Ultra-wide band connectivity (UWB)
    • Frosted glass
    • Upgraded Face ID
    • Larger batteries
    • Triple camera module
  • 2019 iPhones gaining bilateral wireless charging
  • New 5.8 and 6.5-inch OLED and 6.1-inch LCD 2019 iPhone screen sizes
  • iPad 9.7-inch increasing to 10.2-inches
  • New iPad mini with faster processor
  • 13-inch MacBook Pro adding 32GB RAM option
  • New 16-inch MacBook Pro with new design
  • Redesigned Mac Pro with “easy to upgrade components”
  • 31.6-inch Apple 6k display with “outstanding picture quality”
  • Apple Watch expanding ECG country support
  • Apple Watch ceramic casing option returns
  • New iPod touch with faster processor
  • AirPods 2 shipments begin in 1H19, will support:
    • Wireless charging
    • Upgraded Bluetooth
  • AirPower shipments begin in 1H19

2018

December 2, 2018

  • New AirPods with wireless charging coming in the first quarter of 2019, link
  • All-new design AirPods coming in the first quarter of 2020

November 12, 2018

  • 2019 iPhones models will gain MPI antenna tech, link

November 1, 2018

  • 2019 iPhones to have upgraded flood illuminator Face ID component, link
  • Apple to debut ToF camera on iPad in early 2020

October 23, 2018

New iPad Pro:

  • Improved display, link
  • Redesigned Apple Pencil

New iPad mini:

  • Upgraded processor
  • Launching as soon as October 2018 media event but may come next year

October 15, 2018

  • 2019 iPhones will see no change in water resistance from 2018, link
  • 2019 iPhones will come in same sizes as 2018 (5.8/6.1/6.5-inch), link

September 12, 2018

  • 2019 iPhones will not feature ToF camera, link

September 10, 2018

  • 2018 iPad Pro, link
    • USB-C to replace Lightning
    • 18W power brick bundled
  • 2018 iPhones will ship with 5W power brick
  • 6.1-inch iPhone delayed until late September/early October
  • 12-inch MacBook will be discontinued after new MacBook Air announced
  • New MacBook Air will have Touch ID sensor
  • Apple Watch Series 4:
    • Slimmer bezels
    • Ceramic backs on all models
    • Electrocardiogram (EKG/ECG) functionality
  • AirPower still expected before end of 2018
  • New AirPods still expected before end of 2018

September 4, 2018

  • 2019 iPhones will not get in-display Touch ID, link

July 5, 2018

  • 5.8/6.5-inch iPhone models to come in Black, White and Gold, link
  • 6.1-inch iPhone to come in red, blue, orange, gray, and white

June 4, 2018

  • 2018 iPhones to see lower pricing, link
  • All 2018 iPhones to be released in September 2018

March 27, 2018

Apple Watch Series 4:

  • New design, link
  • ~15% larger display
  • Longer battery life
  • New health features

March 23, 2018

  • Low-cost 9.7-inch iPad to support Apple Pencil, link

March 3, 2018

  • New MacBook Air coming in the second quarter of 2018, with

February 24, 2018

  • New over-ear headphones in development
    • Launching as early as the fourth quarter of 2018, link
  • New AirPods launching in the second half of 2018, with:
    • Similar design to original AirPods
    • Wireless charging case
    • Upgraded W1 chip

February 4, 2018

  • Intel to be exclusive modem supplier for 2018 iPhones, link

January 29, 2018

  • iPhone SE 2 launch unlikely in the near future, link

January 28, 2018

New 2018 5.8/6.5-inch iPhones:

  • 4GB RAM, link
  • 6.5-inch model to have 3,300-3,400 mAh battery

January 23, 2018

New 2018 6.1-inch iPhone:

  • Aluminum frame, link
  • Single rear camera
  • 3GB RAM
  • No 3D Touch
  • $700-800

January 22, 2018

  • Apple to discontinue iPhone X when new 2018 iPhones launch, link

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